Topics
Macroeconomics and events
The US data and Fed decisions markets watch; the gap between expectations and outcomes, and crypto-specific events.
How to read an economic calendar
An economic calendar shows the time and importance of upcoming data releases and decisions, with their previous, expected and actual values, in a single table.
Priced in: why expectations matter
Markets react to events not only when they happen but from the moment they are expected.
Fed rate decisions (FOMC)
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets the US Federal Reserve's policy rate at eight scheduled meetings a year.
Inflation data (CPI, PCE)
In the US, inflation is followed every month through two main releases: the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from the BLS and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index from the BEA.
Jobs data (nonfarm payrolls, jobless claims)
US jobs data shows how strong the labour market is.
Growth data (GDP, PMI)
Growth data shows how fast the US economy is expanding or slowing.
Bond yields and the yield curve
The yield on US Treasuries sums up the market's rate, growth and inflation expectations in a single number.
The dollar index (DXY)
The dollar index (DXY) measures the US dollar against six major currencies in a single number.
Stock indices and risk appetite
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are indices that sum up the overall direction of the US stock market, and they are widely used to read the market's risk appetite.
Crypto-specific events: token unlocks, halvings, ETF flows
Token unlocks, the Bitcoin halving, spot ETF flows and network upgrades are events specific to the crypto market.
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